A voltage wave swept global markets after the long -awaited US tariff announcement, which set a strong risk aversion and led important rates such as NASDAQ, S&P500 and Ibovespa to record expressive falls.
International scholarships, previously resistant to the expectation of the protectionist measures of US President Donald Trump, eventually succumbed after rates of up to 34% imposed on China and similar retaliation adopted by the Asian giant. NASDAQ, for example, went into bear market.
The dollar fired, while commodities such as oil and ore faced significant falls, reflecting the growing fear of a possible global economic slowdown.
In Brazil, Ibovespa felt turbulence hard, ending the week with losses over 3%, in its worst performance since December 2022, while the US currency approached the $ 6.00.
In this context, national investors are cautious about the extent of this tariff crisis, even with the Brazilian taxation maintained at the minimum level established by Trump.
Dollar, bags and commodities: How to position yourself?
In this context, for this Monday (7) and also throughout the week, analysts recommend extra attention to the technical movements of Ibovespa, S & P500 and NASDAQ, which will be able to test critical supports in the face of tariff uncertainties.
Continues after advertising
In the exchange rate, the dollar should follow volatile, and it is essential to follow the advance or relief in commercial tensions between the United States and China. Among commodities, gold can gain prominence as a defensive asset amid instability, while oil will remain sensitive to political and economic decisions.
American bags: NASDAQ and S&P500
Starting with the American bags, the NASDAQ It accumulates low of almost 22% in the year, operating in a low trend and, according to XP technical analyst, Gilberto Coelho, the index approaches important support in 17,000 points. “If lost, it can lead the index to test the 14,000 points”, Warns Coelho, which could further intensify the seller movement.
Going to S & P500which retreats 17.5% this year, Giba points out that the fall movement leads the index to approach important support zones, especially the region near the 5,000 points – Patamar last observed in May last year. If broken, the S&P 500 can accelerate the fall towards 4,700 or even 4,100 points.
Continues after advertising
Ibovespa
Unlike US bags, the Ibovespa It still maintains a high-term tower, even after giving 2.96% last Friday.
“With Friday’s movement, the index tested the region of 126,700 points, which is a 61.8% retraction of Fibonacci. This is a relevant technical point, where Ibovespa tends to find it difficult to follow the fall.”
Carvalho, however, warns that if the seller volume remains predominant in the next trading sessions, the index still has relevant support zones in 125,500 and 122,500 points. The loss of these levels could signal a possible trend reversal, he adds.
Dollar
The Future Dollar (Dolfut) continues to operate in a lateral lane in the macro scenario, according to Alex Carvalho. The main support of the asset, from the technical point of view, is in 5,590 pointsextreme region relevance of previous funds.
Continues after advertising
Carvalho points out that, in the last sessions, the movement of correction of the dollar upwards was accompanied by an increase in the buyer volume, reaching 61.8% Fibonacci retractionin the region of 5,865 points. For him, this level represents a possible difficulty for the asset to maintain the rise movement.
“If the future dollar (dolfut) can break the resistance at 5,900 points, the market should target new tests in the regions of 5,950 and 6,020 points.”
Petroleum and Petrobras
Meanwhile, Petrobras (PETR4) is in a decisive technical region after recent instabilities, according to Rafael Perretti, Clear’s technical analyst. In the short term, according to him, the investor should closely monitor the moving average of 200 periods, a historical critical support that has prevented larger falls in recent years.
Perretti warns that if there is loss of this region, there may be a deeper correction, especially after recent gaps caused by balance sheets, fluctuations in oil price and tariff changes.
Continues after advertising
In relation to oil, which directly influences PETR4, the analyst recommends attention, in the face of geopolitical tensions triggered after advertisements of tariffs made by Donald Trump, which made the barrel price fall 7%, overthrowing the actions of oil companies.
Nevertheless, Perretti estimates that OPEC can intervene to stabilize prices, bringing oil again to levels between $ 75 and $ 80. If this happens, the investor should prepare for a quick recovery of Petrobras actions in the short term.
Gold; The ‘Porto Seguro’
Finally, gold faced a significant turnaround after the announcement of more aggressive tariffs by US President Donald Trump. On Thursday, the precious metal reached a historical record of US $ 3,167.84 by jaguar, driven by concerns about a possible global trade war. However, on Friday, gold registered a drop in 2.4%…
However, analyzing the weekly gold chart, in dollars, the high trend is evident. Since the breaking of the region of $ 3,000 – Historical barrier never before surpassed – the asset has renewed tops and demonstrated buying force. The maxim of the last week, in US $ 3,167.84marked a new historical record for the metal.
Nevertheless, the weekly closing of falling 1.54%added to a Candle with a long upper shade, indicates increased seller pressure, especially after the top renewal.
Check out more content about technical analysis at IM Trader. Daily, Infomoney publishes what to expect from the dollar and index mini -points.